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10 forecasters
On what reported date will the US Daily Trade Policy Uncertainty Index next fall below 1000?
Peer Score
community
+31.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+57.1
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
170.13
JSD Disagreement Score
37.42
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 18, 2026, 9:23 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 18, 2026
Closes:Jun 18, 2026
Resolved:Jul 10, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2026
Include Bots:Yes