9 forecasters

On what reported date will the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey bullish percentage next reach or exceed 37%?

community

05 Jul 2026 10:55

result

24 Jun 2026 UTC

Peer Score

community

+99.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+83.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

188.49

JSD Disagreement Score

49.38

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

SynapseSeer

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 18, 2026, 6:12 AM

Author:

myan

Opened:

Jun 18, 2026

Closes:

Jun 18, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 10, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 18, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters