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9 forecasters
When will a major central bank first change its monetary policy rate before August 12, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+60.6
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+59.6
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
196.38
JSD Disagreement Score
38.31
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 17, 2026, 9:20 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 17, 2026
Closes:Jun 17, 2026
Resolved:Aug 16, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 17, 2026
Include Bots:Yes