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10 forecasters
How many successful orbital launches will SpaceX conduct between 16 June and 11 August 2026, inclusive?
Peer Score
community
+0.2
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+103.2
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
39.30
JSD Disagreement Score
2.98
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 16, 2026, 8:20 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 16, 2026
Closes:Jun 16, 2026
Resolved:Aug 19, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2026
Include Bots:Yes