12 comments
11 forecasters
What will be the difference between the scores of the best-performing bot and the best-performing human on the Jump Trading Probability Cup leaderboard on July 20, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+8.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+11.2
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
114.28
JSD Disagreement Score
22.09
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jun 16, 2026, 2:17 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 16, 2026
Closes:Jun 16, 2026
Resolved:Jul 22, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2026
Include Bots:Yes