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10 forecasters
On what date on or before 12 August 2026 will the Roy Morgan ALP-vs-One Nation 2PP first show One Nation at or above 50.0%
Peer Score
community
+2.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+114.4
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
67.71
JSD Disagreement Score
14.11
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 15, 2026, 6:22 AM
Author:
Opened:Jun 15, 2026
Closes:Jun 15, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2026
Include Bots:Yes