7 forecasters

How many publicly listed insurance or reinsurance groups globally will disclose net pre-tax insurance losses of at least US$100 million from large claims, or reserve strengthening for Q2 2026?

community

19.9 Number of companies

result

13 Number of companies

Peer Score

community

+11.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+59.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

120.60

JSD Disagreement Score

20.65

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Jun 11, 2026, 6:26 PM

Author:

BenY

Opened:

Jun 11, 2026

Closes:

Jun 11, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 20, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 11, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters