0 comments
10 forecasters
What will be the total number of US mass shootings in 2026 reported by the Gun Violence Archive as of August 12, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+9.1
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+1.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
81.30
JSD Disagreement Score
10.42
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 9, 2026, 6:20 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 9, 2026
Closes:Jun 9, 2026
Resolved:Aug 19, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2026
Include Bots:Yes