6 forecasters

What will the latest Gallup poll net-for show for the Icelandic EU negotiations referendum on August 1st?

community

1.5 percentage points

result

5 percentage points

Peer Score

community

+0.4

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+11.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

72.96

JSD Disagreement Score

8.20

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Jun 9, 2026, 4:17 PM

Author:

mantic-questions

Opened:

Jun 9, 2026

Closes:

Jun 9, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 4, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters