10 forecasters

How many confirmed U.S. New World screwworm animal cases and wild-fly detections will USDA list by August 11, 2026?

community

14.6 detections

result

45 detections

Peer Score

community

+5.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-24.9

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

94.83

JSD Disagreement Score

11.22

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 7, 2026, 3:15 AM

Author:

Opened:

Jun 7, 2026

Closes:

Jun 7, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 16, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 7, 2026

Include Bots:Yes