6 forecasters

How many U.S. International Trade Commission documents will the Federal Register publish between 6/8/2026 and 8/11/2026?

community

>75.5 Documents

result

More than 75.5 Documents

Peer Score

community

+0.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+122.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

77.77

JSD Disagreement Score

9.06

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 5 - started Jun 6, 2026, 8:17 AM

Author:

MarcosO

Opened:

Jun 6, 2026

Closes:

Jun 6, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 16, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 6, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters