9 forecasters

How many consumer product recall announcements will the CPSC publish between 6/8/2026 and 8/12/2026?

community

>65.5 recall announcements

result

More than 65.5 recall announcements

Peer Score

community

+22.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+114.0

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

282.94

JSD Disagreement Score

20.31

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 5, 2026, 7:17 PM

Author:

MarcosO

Opened:

Jun 5, 2026

Closes:

Jun 5, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 18, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 5, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters