11 forecasters

What will the U.S. Trade Deficit figure displayed on USDebtClock.org be on 31 July 2026?

community

863 $B

result

713.384 $B

Peer Score

community

+37.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-9.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

159.32

JSD Disagreement Score

38.70

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jun 4, 2026, 6:14 AM

Author:

Panshul

Opened:

Jun 4, 2026

Closes:

Jun 4, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 4, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 4, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters