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forecasters
What will be the margin of victory in the Makerfield by-election?
community
5.41 percentage points
result
20.27721641 percentage points
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Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Scores
Peer Score
community
+0.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-16.4
0
Chance
baseline
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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embed
Author:
mantic-questions
Opened:
Jun 3, 2026
Closes:
Jun 3, 2026
Resolved:
Jun 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Jun 3, 2026
Include Bots:
Yes
Series 1