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10 forecasters
On what observation date will the weekly Roy Morgan Federal Voting Intention poll first report Pauline Hanson's One Nation primary vote at or above 27.0%?
Peer Score
community
+1.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-18.0
0
Chance
baseline
Author:
Opened:Jun 1, 2026
Closes:Jun 1, 2026
Resolved:Jul 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes