10 forecasters

How many school shooting incidents with at least one victim killed will be recorded in the U.S. West between May 25 and August 1, 2026?

community

0.956 Number of incidents

result

1 Number of incidents

Peer Score

community

+12.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+138.9

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

105.60

JSD Disagreement Score

19.10

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 31, 2026, 10:11 PM

Author:

DaiBrook

Opened:

May 31, 2026

Closes:

May 31, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 31, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters