10 forecasters

When will AI solve the next Frontier Math problem?

Latest estimate

>12 Aug 2026

Disagreement Score44.83

Author:

Opened:

May 31, 2026

Closed:

May 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 12, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 31, 2026

Include Bots:Yes