1 comment
11 forecasters
How many distinct studies newly posted on ClinicalTrials.gov (First Posted dates 2026-05-30 to 2026-08-11) will mention a specific commercial LLM product version or AI lab company by name?
Peer Score
community
+15.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+23.5
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
156.22
JSD Disagreement Score
28.93
Panel forecasts
10
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 30, 2026, 8:12 PM
Author:
Opened:May 30, 2026
Closes:May 30, 2026
Resolved:Aug 19, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 30, 2026
Include Bots:Yes