11 forecasters

How many crossbench Senators will formally vote in favor of an amendment to implement a new gas export tax or levy during the final legislative week of the 2026 Winter Sittings (June 29 – July 2)?

community

8.22 Senators

result

0 Senators

Peer Score

community

+8.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+81.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

109.17

JSD Disagreement Score

15.07

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 30, 2026, 9:12 AM

Author:

jamiedarcy

Opened:

May 30, 2026

Closes:

May 30, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 10, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 30, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

How many crossbench Senators will formally vote in favor of an amendment to implement a new gas export tax or levy during the final legislative week of the 2026 Winter Sittings (June 29 – July 2)?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?