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9 forecasters
What will be the total number of "Working" Starlink satellites in orbit on August 1, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+41.1
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+77.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
176.20
JSD Disagreement Score
16.05
Panel forecasts
8
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 29, 2026, 8:14 PM
Author:
Opened:May 29, 2026
Closes:May 29, 2026
Resolved:Aug 6, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes