11 comments
10 forecasters
How many measles cases with a 2026 onset date will the Utah Department of Health and Human Services report for the ongoing Utah measles outbreak in its dashboard update published closest to July 15, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+4.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+58.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
58.99
JSD Disagreement Score
7.46
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 29, 2026, 10:14 PM
Author:
Opened:May 29, 2026
Closes:May 29, 2026
Resolved:Jul 22, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes