10 comments
9 forecasters
How many people will be shot, injured or killed, in the United States between 1 July and 10 July 2026, according to Gun Violence Archive?
Peer Score
community
+1.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+43.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
56.82
JSD Disagreement Score
6.35
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 29, 2026, 3:15 PM
Author:
Opened:May 29, 2026
Closes:May 29, 2026
Resolved:Aug 24, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes