Peer Score
community
+1.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+116.8
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
38.62
JSD Disagreement Score
4.00
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 28, 2026, 1:16 AM
Author:
Opened:May 28, 2026
Closes:May 28, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2026
Include Bots:Yes