11 forecasters

On what day will U.S. hotel occupancy next exceed 71%?

community

27 Jun 2026

result

20 Jun 2026 UTC

Peer Score

community

+17.3

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+95.2

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

147.00

JSD Disagreement Score

35.00

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 27, 2026, 8:17 PM

Author:

pgodzin

Opened:

May 27, 2026

Closes:

May 27, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 16, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters