9 forecasters

On what day will AAII bearish sentiment next exceed 50%?

community

05 Aug 2026

result

More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00

Peer Score

community

+2.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+98.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

93.98

JSD Disagreement Score

18.59

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 27, 2026, 5:20 PM

Author:

pgodzin

Opened:

May 27, 2026

Closes:

May 27, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters