9 comments
8 forecasters
What legal rationale will control the Supreme Court’s ruling in Trump v. Cook?
E. Removal blocked primarily because the Federal Reserve is institutionally distinct22.5%
F. Removal blocked primarily because the alleged conduct does not qualify as cause13.1%
G. Removal blocked primarily on due-process or procedural groundsresult: Yes
I. Reasoned disposition on other grounds9.4%
Forecast Timeline
Peer Score
community
+1.2
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+35.8
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
58.94
JSD Disagreement Score
6.67
Panel forecasts
7
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
A. Removal allowed primarily on remedial or interim-relief groundsE. Removal blocked primarily because the Federal Reserve is institutionally distinctI. Reasoned disposition on other grounds
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 7 - started May 27, 2026, 11:21 AM
Author:
Opened:May 27, 2026
Closes:May 27, 2026
Resolved:Jul 8, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2026
Include Bots:Yes