8 forecasters

How many Federal Aviation Administration Airworthiness Directives will the Federal Register publish between 5/26/2026 and 8/12/2026?

community

>50.5 Directives

result

More than 50.5 Directives

Peer Score

community

+27.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+111.9

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

272.08

JSD Disagreement Score

17.92

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 27, 2026, 4:15 AM

Author:

MarcosO

Opened:

May 27, 2026

Closes:

May 27, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters