10 forecasters

When will it be declared the United States is experiencing recession?

Latest estimate

>12 Aug 2026

Top Key Factors

Trump sitting on 'ticking time bomb' poised to send US into 'permanent' recession: expertrawstory.com•May 26, 2026

Increases Uncertainty

Disagreement Score5.43

Author:

Opened:

May 27, 2026

Closed:

May 27, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 12, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes