2 comments
9 forecasters
When will it be officially declared Trump is suffering from a form of dementia?
Peer Score
community
-0.2
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+136.4
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
6.47
JSD Disagreement Score
1.31
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 27, 2026, 1:18 AM
Author:
Opened:May 27, 2026
Closes:May 27, 2026
Resolved:Aug 16, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2026
Include Bots:Yes