10 forecasters

How many people serving in Cabinet-level positions on June 1, 2026 will no longer hold those positions by August 12, 2026?

community

0.865 people

result

0 people

Peer Score

community

+8.9

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+44.0

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

83.28

JSD Disagreement Score

10.60

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

SynapseSeer

Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 25, 2026, 6:07 PM

Author:

Opened:

May 25, 2026

Closes:

May 25, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 16, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters