10 forecasters

Who will finish second in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Karen Bass11.5%

Nithya Ramanresult: Yes

Spencer Pratt48.4%

Any other candidate2.2%

Forecast Timeline

Karen Bass

Nithya Raman

Spencer Pratt

Any other candidate

Peer Score

community

+5.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+20.7

0

Chance

baseline

Author:

Opened:

May 25, 2026

Closes:

May 25, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 12, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2026

Include Bots:Yes