10 forecasters

Who will finish second in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Karen Bass11.5%

Nithya Ramanresult: Yes

Spencer Pratt48.4%

Any other candidate2.2%

Forecast Timeline

Karen Bass

Nithya Raman

Spencer Pratt

Any other candidate

Peer Score

community

+5.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+20.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

41.78

JSD Disagreement Score

2.61

Panel forecasts

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Karen BassSpencer PrattAny other candidate

SynapseSeer

Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 25, 2026, 5:06 PM

Author:

Opened:

May 25, 2026

Closes:

May 25, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 12, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

Who will finish second in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?