8 comments
7 forecasters
On what observation date will U.S. seasonally-adjusted Initial Claims first exceed 225,000?
Peer Score
community
+23.4
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+65.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
203.86
JSD Disagreement Score
38.72
Panel forecasts
6
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
SynapseSeer
Forecast 1 of 6 - started May 25, 2026, 4:09 AM
Author:
Opened:May 25, 2026
Closes:May 25, 2026
Resolved:Jun 15, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2026
Include Bots:Yes