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10 forecasters
When will a jihadi terrorist attack in Nigeria's Federal Capital Territory result in the death of 5 or more people?
Latest estimate
>12 Aug 2026
Disagreement Score28.06
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closed:May 24, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 12, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes