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10 forecasters
When will a second Somali state withdraw recognition of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud as the country's president?
Peer Score
community
+4.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+101.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
48.99
JSD Disagreement Score
4.88
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 24, 2026, 9:18 PM
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closes:May 24, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes