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9 forecasters
When will SpaceX launch its next Starship suborbital or orbital test flight (Flight 13)?
Peer Score
community
-0.2
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+10.4
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
56.60
JSD Disagreement Score
6.34
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 24, 2026, 7:20 PM
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closes:May 24, 2026
Resolved:Aug 16, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes