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11 forecasters
What will be the total number of civilian fatalities due to terrorism in Pakistan in July 2026?
Peer Score
community
+36.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+20.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
79.54
JSD Disagreement Score
5.78
Panel forecasts
10
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 24, 2026, 12:12 PM
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closes:May 24, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes