12 comments
11 forecasters
When will the first federal lawsuit challenging USCIS Policy Memorandum PM-602-0199 be filed?
Peer Score
community
+18.6
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+48.2
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
120.59
JSD Disagreement Score
16.79
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 24, 2026, 5:18 AM
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closes:May 24, 2026
Resolved:Aug 24, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes