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10 forecasters
How many mass shootings will the Mass Shooting Tracker record in the United States between May 25 and June 8, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+93.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+103.6
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
272.19
JSD Disagreement Score
31.09
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 24, 2026, 2:11 AM
Author:
Opened:May 24, 2026
Closes:May 24, 2026
Resolved:Jun 12, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes