14 comments
11 forecasters
On what date will a significant religious crisis in the US be covered by news organizations.
Peer Score
community
+5.4
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-35.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
160.17
JSD Disagreement Score
24.56
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 23, 2026, 2:44 PM
Author:
Opened:May 23, 2026
Closes:May 23, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 23, 2026
Include Bots:Yes