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10 forecasters
When will Iran or the United States first officially announce that the Strait of Hormuz has been fully reopened to unrestricted commercial shipping?
Latest estimate
>12 Aug 2026
Disagreement Score46.73
Author:
Opened:May 23, 2026
Closed:May 23, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 12, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 23, 2026
Include Bots:Yes