11 forecasters

How many “new security patches” will Oracle state are included, in total, in its May 28, 2026 and June 16, 2026 Critical Security Patch Update advisories?

community

67.7 security patches

result

More than 200.5 security patches

Peer Score

community

+32.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-2.8

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

83.53

JSD Disagreement Score

8.85

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 11 - started May 22, 2026, 1:16 AM

Author:

Suhas

Opened:

May 22, 2026

Closes:

May 22, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 21, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 22, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters