12 forecasters

What will be the number of distinct infectious pathogens named in CDC HAN messages?

community

1.9 Pathogens

result

4 Pathogens

Peer Score

community

-0.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-10.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

59.17

JSD Disagreement Score

5.10

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 11 - started May 21, 2026, 10:18 PM

Author:

MarcosO

Opened:

May 21, 2026

Closes:

May 21, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 18, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 21, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters