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10 forecasters
How many preventive or successive constitutional review cases will Polish President Karol Nawrocki file at the Constitutional Tribunal between 1 June and 12 August 2026?
Peer Score
community
-2.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+36.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
62.39
JSD Disagreement Score
6.01
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 20, 2026, 7:20 AM
Author:
Opened:May 20, 2026
Closes:May 20, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2026
Include Bots:Yes