Peer Score
community
+1.0
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-15.6
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
60.28
JSD Disagreement Score
7.43
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 20, 2026, 5:32 AM
Author:
Opened:May 20, 2026
Closes:May 20, 2026
Resolved:Jul 11, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2026
Include Bots:Yes