12 comments
10 forecasters
When will Supreme Court issue a constitutional merits decision on Trump’s birthright-citizenship order?
Peer Score
community
+4.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+66.5
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
128.53
JSD Disagreement Score
24.00
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 20, 2026, 5:32 AM
Author:
Opened:May 20, 2026
Closes:May 20, 2026
Resolved:Jul 16, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2026
Include Bots:Yes