11 forecasters

On what date will the U.S. EPA publish in the Federal Register its final rule completing the Clean Air Act Section 111 fossil-fuel power-plant rulemaking it proposed in June 2025?

community

25 Jul 2026

result

More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00

Peer Score

community

+8.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+68.5

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

99.45

JSD Disagreement Score

22.47

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 19, 2026, 10:29 PM

Author:

ksurapaneni

Opened:

May 19, 2026

Closes:

May 19, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00

Spot Scoring Time:

May 19, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On what date will the U.S. EPA publish in the Federal Register its final rule completing the Clean Air Act Section 111 fossil-fuel power-plant rulemaking it proposed in June 2025?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?