10 forecasters

On what UTC date will the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) participate in the 33rd ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Foreign Ministers' Meeting?

community

02 Aug 2026 17:56

result

More than 12 Aug 2026

Peer Score

community

+2.5

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+92.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

125.27

JSD Disagreement Score

22.85

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

SynapseSeer

Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 19, 2026, 9:08 PM

Author:

ksurapaneni

Opened:

May 19, 2026

Closes:

May 19, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 27, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 19, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

On what UTC date will the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) participate in the 33rd ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Foreign Ministers' Meeting?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?