7 forecasters

On what UTC date will FERC first issue an order granting, in whole or in material part, Constellation's Crane capacity-interconnection-rights transfer waiver request in Docket No. ER26-2028-000?

community

15 Jul 2026 23:39

result

31 May 2026 UTC

Peer Score

community

+56.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-28.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

81.65

JSD Disagreement Score

16.03

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started May 19, 2026, 2:30 PM

Author:

ksurapaneni

Opened:

May 19, 2026

Closes:

May 19, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 16, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 19, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On what UTC date will FERC first issue an order granting, in whole or in material part, Constellation's Crane capacity-interconnection-rights transfer waiver request in Docket No. ER26-2028-000?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?