1 comment
12 forecasters
Which action related to the Anti-Weaponization Fund will happen first?
Federal court blocks or pauses fund activityresult: Yes
Congressional subpoena issued4.3%
GAO/OIG/OGE review, audit, investigation, decision, opinion, or report publicly confirmed25%
Claimant-level or defined-claimant-group approval, award, obligation, disbursement, or payment publicly confirmed13%
None of the above occurs by 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC29.9%
Forecast Timeline
Peer Score
community
+14.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+13.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
66.24
JSD Disagreement Score
6.33
Panel forecasts
11
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Federal court blocks or pauses fund activityGAO/OIG/OGE review, audit, investigation, decision, opinion, or report publicly confirmedNone of the above occurs by 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 11 - started May 18, 2026, 7:18 PM
Author:
Opened:May 18, 2026
Closes:May 18, 2026
Resolved:Jun 12, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 18, 2026
Include Bots:Yes