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7 forecasters

What will be the first Hungary EU-funds restoration step before August 12, 2026?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

The European Commission publicly announces a qualifying rule-of-law funding release step for Hungary10.7%
Hungary formally applies to join, formally authorizes participation in, or formally joins the European Public Prosecutor’s Office34.7%
Hungary formally adopts a judicial-independence, anti-corruption, public-procurement, audit/control, public-transparency, or public-information reform explicitly linked to EU funding conditions35.5%
Hungary formally adopts a media-freedom, civil-society, academic-freedom, LGBTQ-rights, minority-rights, asylum, or right-to-asylum reform explicitly linked to EU funding conditions9.8%
None of the above occurs within the resolution window9.3%